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#31
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Legal Tender Act passed
"Beanie" wrote in message ... "mazorj" wrote in message ... but the cheapening of fiat money is totally under political control. Politicians all like to point out to the electorate on how the brought home the bacon to their home district. Since there isn't enough money around for fund all the pork, the only ways to get it are borrow or print more money (aka quantitative easing). Currently we do both. China is the largest holder of US debt and is going to be left holding the bag as the dollar dwindles in value. The Chinese have a tiger by the tail - if they start to dump their T-Bills, the dollar and the value of the t-bills will drop lock a rock. If they hold on to them, there value will slowly be eroded by an inflation rate that exceeds the interest being paid on the t-bills. Either way, they will get screwed. China need the US market to sell their cheap goods, so they have to play ball with Uncle Sam and are willing, for the mean time, to bend over and take it as a matter of political expediency. Yep, much like the political expediency of the Mexican standoff that prevents us from being too critical of human rights issues in OPEC nations. We give lip service to human rights there but don't dare to do anything substantive against most of the hands that control the oil spigots. So in practice, we let the victims of such abuses bend over and take it. As has been noted in Realpolitiks, nations do not have friends, just interests. If the making of laws and sausages is too revolting for you to see in action, don't even think about diplomacy and foreign policies. |
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#32
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Legal Tender Act passed
On Feb 26, 11:13*am, "Beanie" wrote:
"Peter" wrote in message ... If the period is "too short", what would have changed the outcome if the period had been longer? The politicians' desire to placate the people (and/or enrich themselves) by big gubmint spending. Once they are unfettered by a solid backing for the currency, the temptation to keep the printing presses running full tilt is irresistible. The loss of purchasing power of fiat currencies over the long term is well documented and I suggest you do a bit of research for complete details. I guess you may have missed something in the link I supplied. For that case it was actually impossible for the government to printed more. That was why the value remained. To an extent, it is consistent with your point, but I think you missed mine. |
#33
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Legal Tender Act passed
On Feb 26, 12:46*pm, "mazorj" wrote:
"Beanie" wrote in .... "mazorj" wrote in message ... but the cheapening of fiat money is *totally under political control.. Politicians all like to point out to the electorate on how the brought home the bacon to their home district. Since there isn't enough money around for fund all the pork, the only ways to get it are borrow or print more money (aka quantitative easing). Currently we do both. China is the largest holder of US debt and is going to be left holding the bag as the dollar dwindles in value. The Chinese have a tiger by the tail - if they start to dump their T-Bills, the dollar and the value of the t-bills will drop lock a rock. If they hold on to them, there value will slowly be eroded by an inflation rate that exceeds the interest being paid on the t-bills. Either way, they will get screwed. China need the US market to sell their cheap goods, so they have to play ball with Uncle Sam and are willing, for the mean time, to bend over and take it as a matter of political expediency. Yep, much like the political expediency of the Mexican standoff that prevents us from being too critical of human rights issues in OPEC nations. We give lip service to human rights there but don't dare to do anything substantive against most of the hands that control the oil spigots. *So in practice, we let the victims of such abuses bend over and take it. As has been noted in Realpolitiks, nations do not have friends, just interests. *If the making of laws and sausages is too revolting for you to see in action, don't even think about diplomacy and foreign policies.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Ostrich. Head in the proverbial SAND. Be an ostrich. The great denouement is happening as we post. Historically, the funny thing about the World's worst hyperinflations is that 75% to 95% of the people's savings were toast WELL BEFORE the spectacular "Lightening" stage of "the Hyperinflationary Blowoff". Frankly, I hope to point my friends in the right direction. If they are mentally incapable, well, my conscious is very sad but clear. oly |
#34
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Legal Tender Act passed
On Feb 26, 3:36*pm, "Beanie" wrote:
What was your point, other than to be deliberately obtuse? You alleged that a fiat currency must always decline in value and subsequently mentioned as the obvious reason that there is an irresistible temptation to print more. I cited an example where it did not decline. It was an example where it was impossible in the foreseeable future to print any more and that fact became widely known. The value (purchasing power) of the currency actually increased (and was validated by outside observers). I believe that the cause of the increase was, in part, the knowledge that printing more was not possible. I freely admit that the period is only about 10 years, but the example seems to me clear enough. In case it is not yet obvious, I submit that the mind of mankind is able to create other situations where the printing press cannot be used to print unlimited currency. That such prudence is not commonly observed does not make it impossible. |
#35
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Legal Tender Act passed
"Peter" wrote in message ... I freely admit that the period is only about 10 years, but the example seems to me clear enough. The example you cited is a short term anomaly. You know, I know it, everybody knows it. You know you're wrong yet you keep grasping at straws. |
#36
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Legal Tender Act passed
"oly" totally dodged my earlier question, and posted the following non sequitur to the current thread commentary, when he randomly typed ... On Feb 26, 12:46 pm, "mazorj" wrote: "Beanie" wrote in ... "mazorj" wrote in message ... but the cheapening of fiat money is totally under political control. Politicians all like to point out to the electorate on how the brought home the bacon to their home district. Since there isn't enough money around for fund all the pork, the only ways to get it are borrow or print more money (aka quantitative easing). Currently we do both. China is the largest holder of US debt and is going to be left holding the bag as the dollar dwindles in value. The Chinese have a tiger by the tail - if they start to dump their T-Bills, the dollar and the value of the t-bills will drop lock a rock. If they hold on to them, there value will slowly be eroded by an inflation rate that exceeds the interest being paid on the t-bills. Either way, they will get screwed. China need the US market to sell their cheap goods, so they have to play ball with Uncle Sam and are willing, for the mean time, to bend over and take it as a matter of political expediency. Yep, much like the political expediency of the Mexican standoff that prevents us from being too critical of human rights issues in OPEC nations. We give lip service to human rights there but don't dare to do anything substantive against most of the hands that control the oil spigots. So in practice, we let the victims of such abuses bend over and take it. As has been noted in Realpolitiks, nations do not have friends, just interests. If the making of laws and sausages is too revolting for you to see in action, don't even think about diplomacy and foreign policies.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Ostrich. Head in the proverbial SAND. Be an ostrich. The great denouement is happening as we post. Historically, the funny thing about the World's worst hyperinflations is that 75% to 95% of the people's savings were toast WELL BEFORE the spectacular "Lightening" stage of "the Hyperinflationary Blowoff". Frankly, I hope to point my friends in the right direction. If they are mentally incapable, well, my conscious is very sad but clear. oly ====================== WTF does any of that have to do with my or Beanie's observations here? They are not in opposition to your views, they are consistent with, and merely expand on how the coming meltdown scenario might play out. Instead of looking for opportunities to flame others after mis-reading their comments as attempts to disprove your views, how about putting down that bottle and answering my earlier question? It was: "If we went overnight to solely using money that held inherent PM content (gold/silver coinage) or notes fully backed by Ft. Knox holdings, would there be a sufficient money supply so that there would be no negative effect on commerce?" You're the self-styled expert on money here. Put up or STFU, oly. |
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Legal Tender Act passed
On Feb 27, 11:37*am, "mazorj" wrote:
"oly" totally dodged my earlier question, and posted the following non sequitur to the current thread commentary, when he randomly ... On Feb 26, 12:46 pm, "mazorj" wrote: "Beanie" wrote in ... "mazorj" wrote in message ... but the cheapening of fiat money is totally under political control. Politicians all like to point out to the electorate on how the brought home the bacon to their home district. Since there isn't enough money around for fund all the pork, the only ways to get it are borrow or print more money (aka quantitative easing). Currently we do both. China is the largest holder of US debt and is going to be left holding the bag as the dollar dwindles in value. The Chinese have a tiger by the tail - if they start to dump their T-Bills, the dollar and the value of the t-bills will drop lock a rock. If they hold on to them, there value will slowly be eroded by an inflation rate that exceeds the interest being paid on the t-bills. Either way, they will get screwed. China need the US market to sell their cheap goods, so they have to play ball with Uncle Sam and are willing, for the mean time, to bend over and take it as a matter of political expediency. Yep, much like the political expediency of the Mexican standoff that prevents us from being too critical of human rights issues in OPEC nations. We give lip service to human rights there but don't dare to do anything substantive against most of the hands that control the oil spigots. So in practice, we let the victims of such abuses bend over and take it. As has been noted in Realpolitiks, nations do not have friends, just interests. If the making of laws and sausages is too revolting for you to see in action, don't even think about diplomacy and foreign policies.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Ostrich. Head in the proverbial SAND. Be an ostrich. The great denouement is happening as we post. Historically, the funny thing about the World's worst hyperinflations is that 75% to 95% of the people's savings were toast WELL BEFORE the spectacular "Lightening" stage of "the Hyperinflationary Blowoff". Frankly, I hope to point my friends in the right direction. If they are mentally incapable, well, my conscious is very sad but clear. oly ====================== WTF does any of that have to do with my or Beanie's observations here? *They are not in opposition to your views, they are consistent with, and merely expand on how the coming meltdown scenario might play out. Instead of looking for opportunities to flame others after mis-reading their comments as attempts to disprove your views, how about putting down that bottle and answering my earlier question? *It was: "If we went overnight to solely using money that held inherent PM content (gold/silver coinage) or notes fully backed by Ft. Knox holdings, would there be a sufficient money supply so that there would be no negative effect on commerce?" You're the self-styled expert on money here. *Put up or STFU, oly.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I'm not particularly responding to Beanie's post, and his views and mine are indeed along the same lines. I may have put the cursor in the wrong place. ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ +++ First, your "duck in a pen" mindset shows when you complacently believe that the gold that's supposed to be in Fort Knox is still there. Second, the relationship between goods and services and the amount of gold used as a circulating medium will naturally adjust if, a la Adam Smith, the "invisble hand" of the free market is allowed to operate without serious interference. It makes the same adjustments in a fiat money system too, but instead of a gold-based stability where sometimes prices go up, sometimes prices go down (and don't change much over decades), you can pretty much count on prices only going up in terms of paper money. Third, bimetallism doesn't work. You gotta choose gold OR silver as the standard. That's one of history's clearer lessons. Fourth, I must come to the conclusion that I seriously don't care whether or not you do well in the coming years, Mr. Mazor. The financial and monetary system of the USA is obviously fairly impaired and we are approaching a sharp break from what has been the status quo in this country from the early 1970s. Sauve qui peut, but penned ducks are sitting ducks. Back to point two and the relationship between goods and money. I like what Dr. Johnson said in Boswell's Journey to the Western Isles. When well into Scotland, some host pointed out that forty hen's eggs could be purchased for a shilling in that locale. Johnson's reply was "It is not that are eggs are so common here, but rather that pence are dear". Nevertheless, despite the scarcity of pence, it was entirely possible to establish prices and get the good Doctor some scrambled eggs. Under a gold system, prices will be established and some rough equilibrium will be maintained over time, so long as we abandon the idea of central banking and serious government interference in free markets. oly |
#38
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Legal Tender Act passed
"oly" wrote in message ... On Feb 27, 11:37 am, "mazorj" wrote: "oly" totally dodged my earlier question, and posted the following non sequitur to the current thread commentary, when he randomly ... On Feb 26, 12:46 pm, "mazorj" wrote: "Beanie" wrote in ... "mazorj" wrote in message ... but the cheapening of fiat money is totally under political control. Politicians all like to point out to the electorate on how the brought home the bacon to their home district. Since there isn't enough money around for fund all the pork, the only ways to get it are borrow or print more money (aka quantitative easing). Currently we do both. China is the largest holder of US debt and is going to be left holding the bag as the dollar dwindles in value. The Chinese have a tiger by the tail - if they start to dump their T-Bills, the dollar and the value of the t-bills will drop lock a rock. If they hold on to them, there value will slowly be eroded by an inflation rate that exceeds the interest being paid on the t-bills. Either way, they will get screwed. China need the US market to sell their cheap goods, so they have to play ball with Uncle Sam and are willing, for the mean time, to bend over and take it as a matter of political expediency. Yep, much like the political expediency of the Mexican standoff that prevents us from being too critical of human rights issues in OPEC nations. We give lip service to human rights there but don't dare to do anything substantive against most of the hands that control the oil spigots. So in practice, we let the victims of such abuses bend over and take it. As has been noted in Realpolitiks, nations do not have friends, just interests. If the making of laws and sausages is too revolting for you to see in action, don't even think about diplomacy and foreign policies.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Ostrich. Head in the proverbial SAND. Be an ostrich. The great denouement is happening as we post. Historically, the funny thing about the World's worst hyperinflations is that 75% to 95% of the people's savings were toast WELL BEFORE the spectacular "Lightening" stage of "the Hyperinflationary Blowoff". Frankly, I hope to point my friends in the right direction. If they are mentally incapable, well, my conscious is very sad but clear. oly ====================== WTF does any of that have to do with my or Beanie's observations here? They are not in opposition to your views, they are consistent with, and merely expand on how the coming meltdown scenario might play out. Instead of looking for opportunities to flame others after mis-reading their comments as attempts to disprove your views, how about putting down that bottle and answering my earlier question? It was: "If we went overnight to solely using money that held inherent PM content (gold/silver coinage) or notes fully backed by Ft. Knox holdings, would there be a sufficient money supply so that there would be no negative effect on commerce?" You're the self-styled expert on money here. Put up or STFU, oly.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I'm not particularly responding to Beanie's post, and his views and mine are indeed along the same lines. I may have put the cursor in the wrong place. ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ +++ First, your "duck in a pen" mindset shows when you complacently believe that the gold that's supposed to be in Fort Knox is still there. BZZZT. Your "flamer on steroids" mindset shows when you look for errors that aren't there. Look up the definition and use of "metaphor". Ft. Knox was used as a symbol, not as the definitive location for held gold. Second, the relationship between goods and services and the amount of gold used as a circulating medium will naturally adjust if, a la Adam Smith, the "invisble hand" of the free market is allowed to operate without serious interference. It makes the same adjustments in a fiat money system too, but instead of a gold-based stability where sometimes prices go up, sometimes prices go down (and don't change much over decades), you can pretty much count on prices only going up in terms of paper money. Okay, so your answer is that we have enough government-held gold and/or silver to do away with all forms of fiat money without disrupting trade and commerce. Third, bimetallism doesn't work. You gotta choose gold OR silver as the standard. That's one of history's clearer lessons. So by limiting the PM to gold OR silver, my question becomes even more constrained as does the answer. Is there enough government-held gold to do away with all forms of fiat money without disrupting trade and commerce? *Alternatively* is there enough government-held silver to do away with all forms of fiat money without disrupting trade and commerce? And you MUST deal with my qualifying condition: "Without disrupting trade and commerce." Otherwise your response is non-responsive. Fourth, I must come to the conclusion that I seriously don't care whether or not you do well in the coming years, Mr. Mazor. The financial and monetary system of the USA is obviously fairly impaired and we are approaching a sharp break from what has been the status quo in this country from the early 1970s. When have I ever said otherwise? IMO the debatable question is whether it will "just" result in a nasty hard landing and hard times that surpass the Great Depression in its effects, or will it bring the whole house down around our ears. Sauve qui peut, but penned ducks are sitting ducks. So what's the view from the duck pen of a state employee working and living in a state capital as a state bank examiner? You expect us to believe that your views aren't a product of that parochial hot house? If you work in a sewer long enough, oly, even roses start smelling like sewage. Back to point two and the relationship between goods and money. I like what Dr. Johnson said in Boswell's Journey to the Western Isles. When well into Scotland, some host pointed out that forty hen's eggs could be purchased for a shilling in that locale. Johnson's reply was "It is not that are eggs are so common here, but rather that pence are dear". A clever but insufficient analysis of supply and demand. If eggs were scarce as hens' teeth on the Western Isles, do you think they still would have been going at 40 to the shilling? Nevertheless, despite the scarcity of pence, it was entirely possible to establish prices and get the good Doctor some scrambled eggs. So what? They also could have agreed to exchange a linen handkerchief for however many eggs. The point is, you have precisely illustrated my point that a distorted money supply will result in distortions across markets and regions. Under a gold system, prices will be established and some rough equilibrium will be maintained over time, so long as we abandon the idea of central banking and serious government interference in free markets. I never said it wouldn't. It's the process of plummeting to a new money supply/price equilibrium, and whose oxen will be gored how and how badly as that happens, that is at issue here. You can hardly compare the one-time local purchase of a few eggs with the much more massive scale of downsizing a nation's entire money supply. On a numismatic note, if deflation from a shrunken money supply brings back the 5-cent 1-oz. candy bar, at least we won't be hearing many more calls to abolish a "useless" 1-cent coin. :-) (Which raises an interesting question: FRB notes presumably could be recalled and replaced fairly quickly at a fixed rate of exchange, but what happens to circulating coinage? Wouldn't it take significantly longer to mint all the needed "new" pennies etc. than the printing of the repacement notes? And unless and until that happens, holders of "old" coinage will get a windfall profit as long as, say, 4 "old" state quarters can be used instead of whatever $1 note replaces the FRBs.) |
#39
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Legal Tender Act passed
"mazorj" wrote in message ... "oly" wrote in message ... On Feb 27, 11:37 am, "mazorj" wrote: "oly" totally dodged my earlier question, and posted the following non sequitur to the current thread commentary, when he randomly ... On Feb 26, 12:46 pm, "mazorj" wrote: "Beanie" wrote in ... "mazorj" wrote in message ... but the cheapening of fiat money is totally under political control. Politicians all like to point out to the electorate on how the brought home the bacon to their home district. Since there isn't enough money around for fund all the pork, the only ways to get it are borrow or print more money (aka quantitative easing). Currently we do both. China is the largest holder of US debt and is going to be left holding the bag as the dollar dwindles in value. The Chinese have a tiger by the tail - if they start to dump their T-Bills, the dollar and the value of the t-bills will drop lock a rock. If they hold on to them, there value will slowly be eroded by an inflation rate that exceeds the interest being paid on the t-bills. Either way, they will get screwed. China need the US market to sell their cheap goods, so they have to play ball with Uncle Sam and are willing, for the mean time, to bend over and take it as a matter of political expediency. Yep, much like the political expediency of the Mexican standoff that prevents us from being too critical of human rights issues in OPEC nations. We give lip service to human rights there but don't dare to do anything substantive against most of the hands that control the oil spigots. So in practice, we let the victims of such abuses bend over and take it. As has been noted in Realpolitiks, nations do not have friends, just interests. If the making of laws and sausages is too revolting for you to see in action, don't even think about diplomacy and foreign policies.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Ostrich. Head in the proverbial SAND. Be an ostrich. The great denouement is happening as we post. Historically, the funny thing about the World's worst hyperinflations is that 75% to 95% of the people's savings were toast WELL BEFORE the spectacular "Lightening" stage of "the Hyperinflationary Blowoff". Frankly, I hope to point my friends in the right direction. If they are mentally incapable, well, my conscious is very sad but clear. oly ====================== WTF does any of that have to do with my or Beanie's observations here? They are not in opposition to your views, they are consistent with, and merely expand on how the coming meltdown scenario might play out. Instead of looking for opportunities to flame others after mis-reading their comments as attempts to disprove your views, how about putting down that bottle and answering my earlier question? It was: "If we went overnight to solely using money that held inherent PM content (gold/silver coinage) or notes fully backed by Ft. Knox holdings, would there be a sufficient money supply so that there would be no negative effect on commerce?" You're the self-styled expert on money here. Put up or STFU, oly.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I'm not particularly responding to Beanie's post, and his views and mine are indeed along the same lines. I may have put the cursor in the wrong place. ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ +++ First, your "duck in a pen" mindset shows when you complacently believe that the gold that's supposed to be in Fort Knox is still there. BZZZT. Your "flamer on steroids" mindset shows when you look for errors that aren't there. Look up the definition and use of "metaphor". Ft. Knox was used as a symbol, not as the definitive location for held gold. Second, the relationship between goods and services and the amount of gold used as a circulating medium will naturally adjust if, a la Adam Smith, the "invisble hand" of the free market is allowed to operate without serious interference. It makes the same adjustments in a fiat money system too, but instead of a gold-based stability where sometimes prices go up, sometimes prices go down (and don't change much over decades), you can pretty much count on prices only going up in terms of paper money. Okay, so your answer is that we have enough government-held gold and/or silver to do away with all forms of fiat money without disrupting trade and commerce. Third, bimetallism doesn't work. You gotta choose gold OR silver as the standard. That's one of history's clearer lessons. So by limiting the PM to gold OR silver, my question becomes even more constrained as does the answer. Is there enough government-held gold to do away with all forms of fiat money without disrupting trade and commerce? *Alternatively* is there enough government-held silver to do away with all forms of fiat money without disrupting trade and commerce? And you MUST deal with my qualifying condition: "Without disrupting trade and commerce." Otherwise your response is non-responsive. Fourth, I must come to the conclusion that I seriously don't care whether or not you do well in the coming years, Mr. Mazor. The financial and monetary system of the USA is obviously fairly impaired and we are approaching a sharp break from what has been the status quo in this country from the early 1970s. When have I ever said otherwise? IMO the debatable question is whether it will "just" result in a nasty hard landing and hard times that surpass the Great Depression in its effects, or will it bring the whole house down around our ears. Sauve qui peut, but penned ducks are sitting ducks. So what's the view from the duck pen of a state employee working and living in a state capital as a state bank examiner? You expect us to believe that your views aren't a product of that parochial hot house? If you work in a sewer long enough, oly, even roses start smelling like sewage. Back to point two and the relationship between goods and money. I like what Dr. Johnson said in Boswell's Journey to the Western Isles. When well into Scotland, some host pointed out that forty hen's eggs could be purchased for a shilling in that locale. Johnson's reply was "It is not that are eggs are so common here, but rather that pence are dear". A clever but insufficient analysis of supply and demand. If eggs were scarce as hens' teeth on the Western Isles, do you think they still would have been going at 40 to the shilling? Nevertheless, despite the scarcity of pence, it was entirely possible to establish prices and get the good Doctor some scrambled eggs. So what? They also could have agreed to exchange a linen handkerchief for however many eggs. The point is, you have precisely illustrated my point that a distorted money supply will result in distortions across markets and regions. Under a gold system, prices will be established and some rough equilibrium will be maintained over time, so long as we abandon the idea of central banking and serious government interference in free markets. I never said it wouldn't. It's the process of plummeting to a new money supply/price equilibrium, and whose oxen will be gored how and how badly as that happens, that is at issue here. You can hardly compare the one-time local purchase of a few eggs with the much more massive scale of downsizing a nation's entire money supply. On a numismatic note, if deflation from a shrunken money supply brings back the 5-cent 1-oz. candy bar, at least we won't be hearing many more calls to abolish a "useless" 1-cent coin. :-) (Which raises an interesting question: FRB notes presumably could be recalled and replaced fairly quickly at a fixed rate of exchange, but what happens to circulating coinage? Wouldn't it take significantly longer to mint all the needed "new" pennies etc. than the printing of the repacement notes? And unless and until that happens, holders of "old" coinage will get a windfall profit as long as, say, 4 "old" state quarters can be used instead of whatever $1 note replaces the FRBs.) Following all this with some interest. Could we alone return to a gold/silver-backed currency in today's global economy? Wouldn't all countries have to act in unison and use the same PM as the basis for their own money? |
#40
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Legal Tender Act passed
"mazorj" wrote in message ... (Which raises an interesting question: FRB notes presumably could be recalled and replaced fairly quickly at a fixed rate of exchange, but what happens to circulating coinage? Wouldn't it take significantly longer to mint all the needed "new" pennies etc. than the printing of the repacement notes? And unless and until that happens, holders of "old" coinage will get a windfall profit as long as, say, 4 "old" state quarters can be used instead of whatever $1 note replaces the FRBs.) I imagine that clad coinage would be demonetized. Why not just issue gold and silver coinage in troy ounces or fractions thereof? I'm pretty sure people would readily adapt to that system. I've seen people adapt to a runaway inflation, so adjusting to minor PM flucuations should pose no problem. FRNs will, sooner or later, become worthless. Better the gubmint gets a handle on it now rather than allowing the monetary situation to descend into chaos. I don't know if the gubmint has enough gold/silver to back the currency required for daily commerce but I'm almost positive that the US public AND the gubmint together have enough PMs to make the system work. Offer free conversion into US coin of any gold and silver held by the public. I'm in my 60s, so the chances of the system crashing and burning as in post-WWI Germany in my lifetime are, IMO, remote. Nevertheless, I feel the FRN system is a giant con game and is doomed to eventual failure, certainly within the next 50 years. |
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